Jarratt may only get 1 out of 3 votes

If a State election were called and the folks in Whitsunday voted the same way as they did in the last Federal election, then Jan Jarratt, the ALP MP and Tourism Minister for Queensland will be looking for a new job.

We have done a comparison of the Polling Booth Results that are both in Dawson (2010 Federal) and Whitsunday (2009 State) electorates . . . . between the election of Jan Jarratt as MP in 2009 and George Christensen MHR (Federal, Dawson, 2010), over one third of ALP voters 'jumped ship', with the Greens and LNP being the main beneficiaries.

At the Airlie Beach and Cannonvale polling booths, the ALP lost a staggering half of its support in just 12 months.

The LNP would easily get elected getting over 1/2 the votes - Jan Jarratt would receive less than one third. Here are some statistics comparing the booths that are in both the Whitsunday (State, 2009) and Dawson (Federal, 2010) electorates.

2009 QLD State and 2010 Federal comparisons from Whitsunday polling booths
These must be the scariest figures for the QLD ALP spin doctors - over one third of voters who voted Labor in the 2009 QLD state election, voted Green or LNP in the last Federal election.

Party	2009	2010	Diff
ALP	49.7%	32.1%	17.6% v 34%
LNP	44.4%	53.1%	8.7% ^ 20%
Greens	5.8%	9.2%	3.4% ^ 59%

*The polling booths counted in these results are from Seaforth, Calen, Bloomsbury, Conway Beach, Proserpine, Proserpine Hospital, Airlie Beach, Cannonvale, Hamilton Island, Dingo Beach, Glenella, Eimeo, Bucasia, Habana, Farleigh, Coningsby, Mount Ossa.


2009 QLD State and 2010 Federal comparisons - mutual Dawson - Whitsunday polling booths

Polling Booth	ALP 2010	ALP 2009	GRN 2010	GRN 2009	LNP 2010	LNP 2009
Airlie Beach	22.31	46.94	17.40	9.61	54.44	43.45
Beaconsfield	44.43	53.68	9.11	8.42	37.62	37.89
Bloomsbury	27.51	30.87	6.43	6.07	60.93	63.06
Brisbane	29.69	38.24	15.63	14.71	50.00	47.06
Bucasia	44.81	56.68	4.07	5.53	39.15	37.79
Calen	32.08	39.60	7.08	6.19	55.53	54.20
Cannonvale Beach	26.31	48.66	16.14	7.78	51.29	43.55
Coningsby	31.88	44.97	6.32	3.63	54.35	51.40
Conway Beach	28.10	44.89	7.84	2.27	58.17	52.84
Dingo Beach	29.92	47.83	4.33	5.31	54.72	46.86
Eimeo	40.47	55.17	9.54	5.04	44.39	39.79
Emmanuel	39.20	53.65	7.35	4.05	49.31	42.30
Farleigh	32.26	42.74	4.49	4.63	52.35	52.63
Fitzgerald	40.28	49.63	8.12	4.49	44.75	45.89
Glenella	39.26	55.80	7.78	4.50	48.57	39.70
Habana	31.12	46.01	7.73	5.88	57.73	48.11
Hamilton Island	30.77	55.94	15.03	11.39	51.40	32.67
Hayman Island		58.97		5.13		35.90
Kuttabul	35.93	43.51	6.79	6.49	49.10	50.00
Mount Julian		42.86		6.98		50.17
Mount Ossa	25.00	27.11	4.79	4.22	62.77	68.67
Proserpine	34.34	46.04	7.02	3.90	51.16	50.05
Proserpine Hospital	30.72	44.25	7.47	4.25	54.33	51.50
Seaforth	39.42	45.92	4.73	5.48	50.85	48.60

Airlie Beach Main Street 
The upgrade of the Main Street of Airlie Beach received several visitations from ALP candidates and heavyweights accompanied by Tourism Whitsundays management and directors.  The following results show that there was a huge protest vote against the ALP in the Airlie Beach and Cannonvale polling booths, with the ALP candidate securing less than 1 in 4 votes:

INGREY, Bill	Citizens Electoral Council		1.66%
CHRISTENSEN, George Robert	Liberal National Party of Queensland		52.87%
HERRINGTON, Damian	Family First		4.40%
DYKYJ, Jonathon	The Greens		16.77%
BRUNKER, Mike	Australian Labor Party		24.31%

*The polling booths counted in these results are from Airlie Beach, Cannonvale.


Sources: Australian Electoral Commission